America’s workers are shaking off the effects of the
Great Recession and beginning to swagger again. While the official
unemployment rate remains high, Americans are feeling better about job
prospects as the housing recovery, booming car sales and record exports
build economic confidence. Here’s why:
1. Layoffs are dwindling and jobs are becoming easier to find. The
number of people filing for unemployment benefits last week fell to the
second-lowest level since 2008. The Labor Department reports that 14
Americans voluntarily left a job for another opportunity for every 10
who were laid off or fired – a level of labor-market strength that has
returned to 2007 levels. The volume of advertised job openings is up 80%
since the depths of the recession in 2009. As a result of this improved
demand for workers, more than half of those answering a long-running
survey said they believe it would be somewhat or very easy for them to
find a new job if necessary.
2. In 2013, American workers will make more than 15 million new cars
for the second straight year, returning auto production to its highest
level since 2006. Ford Motor Co. last week reported record profits in
North America, where the company’s leading Fusion and Escape models each
enjoyed sales growth of 25% from a year earlier. Pent-up demand for
cars, with more Americans working and able to afford new wheels, meant
that Ford’s average selling price last quarter rose $1,000 to $32,784.
3. American workers are making more of what the rest of the world
wants to buy. While the outsourcing of jobs overseas still gets
headlines for politicians, the fact is that U.S. exports of goods and
services last year reached a new high of almost $2.2 trillion last year,
up 39% from 2009. The number of American jobs supported by exports of
everything from wheat to machinery to software rose to 9.8 million last
year, according to the Commerce Department, up 15% since 2009.
4. Before long, American labor will nearly eliminate China’s
manufacturing-cost advantage by growing ever more productive and
exploiting domestic energy and transportation resources. In a report
titled “Made in America, Again,”
researchers at the Boston Consulting Group determined that, by 2015, it
will be just as economical to manufacture many goods destined for
American consumers in the U.S. as producing them in China and shipping
them here. This is both due to steady wage gains by Chinese labor and
the fact that U.S. workers are so much more productive per hour of work.
While total domestic manufacturing employment will never return to
mid-20th century heights, expect to hear a lot more about
“insourcing” of industrial jobs thanks to America’s burgeoning low-cost
natural gas supplies and sophisticated transportation logistics.
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